Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.325472 0.378607 0.434589 0.497682 0.566525 0.639095 0.721105
2025-01-19 0.255247 0.328775 0.411149 0.509117 0.621327 0.744776 0.889797
2025-01-26 0.207335 0.294216 0.397198 0.525537 0.678549 0.852686 1.063396
2025-02-02 0.170809 0.266431 0.385985 0.541372 0.733147 0.957634 1.235838
2025-02-09 0.134935 0.233071 0.362792 0.538577 0.762806 1.032213 1.373360
2025-02-16 0.111228 0.211724 0.351552 0.548108 0.805948 1.122466 1.530293
2025-02-23 0.088603 0.187664 0.333211 0.545565 0.831883 1.190665 1.660551
2025-03-02 0.065715 0.158446 0.303626 0.524373 0.830902 1.223354 1.746002
2025-03-09 0.053733 0.144717 0.294778 0.530436 0.865048 1.300324 1.887101
2025-03-16 0.040800 0.126138 0.275922 0.519981 0.875188 1.345305 1.987353
2025-03-23 0.035627 0.121468 0.278665 0.541056 0.929010 1.448054 2.162654
2025-03-30 0.028289 0.110260 0.268981 0.542134 0.953953 1.512245 2.288383
2025-04-06 0.022068 0.099906 0.259857 0.543848 0.980399 1.579913 2.421233
2025-04-13 0.018164 0.094043 0.258088 0.556895 1.023421 1.670668 2.585673
2025-04-20 0.015342 0.090155 0.259477 0.574851 1.073838 1.772112 2.765352
2025-04-27 0.012860 0.086339 0.260483 0.591962 1.123149 1.872573 2.944757
2025-05-04 0.009397 0.077533 0.250244 0.589178 1.141909 1.930418 3.067352
2025-05-11 0.007388 0.072787 0.247782 0.599394 1.180453 2.016270 3.228403
2025-05-18 0.005162 0.065400 0.238476 0.596756 1.198632 2.073208 3.350477
2025-05-25 0.002837 0.054439 0.219066 0.574300 1.184481 2.083193 3.407926
2025-06-01 0.001960 0.050450 0.215575 0.580756 1.216142 2.159214 3.556629
2025-06-08 0.001010 0.043508 0.203333 0.569666 1.218820 2.192809 3.646596
2025-06-15 0.000799 0.043105 0.208329 0.592045 1.276497 2.307424 3.850181